[Plura-list] Green Growth; Lovely video review for Poesy the Monster Slayer

[Cory Doctorow]

Today's links

* Green Growth: TANSTAAFL is the spectre haunting the world.

* Lovely video review for Poesy the Monster Slayer: Thanks, Kend!

* This day in history: 2005, 2010, 2019

* Colophon: Recent publications, upcoming appearances, current writing
projects, current reading

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🧫 Green Growth

In 1972, the Club of Rome published "Limits to Growth," which used
pretty straightforward modeling to predict that the world's productive
capacity would be exhausted soon.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Limits_to_Growth

But over the years, the limits in Limits to Growth have proven to be
more complicated. Capitalists have many failings, but one thing that
they can be relied upon to do, wherever possible, is reduce the costs
that they incur.

Oftentimes, cost reductions can be realized by externalizing: polluting,
overseas dumping, exploiting labor. Sometimes, cost reductions come from
reducing quality or quantity while holding prices steady.

Our electronics are cheaper because they're made by companies in China
whose labor practices drive employees to suicide. When they were made by
unionized labor onshore, they cost more.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foxconn_suicides

For years, the late, lamented Consumerist blog documented the "Grocery
Shrink Ray" whereby common packaged goods got smaller while their prices
held steady.

https://consumerist.com/tag/shrink-ray/index.html

Meanwhile, the private equity fuckwits who took over J Crew destroyed
its staples like the Cece ballet flat, replacing the stitching with glue
and substituting inferior materials - increasing profits by cutting
costs without cutting prices.

https://www.npr.org/transcripts/861378110

But capitalists also realize savings by redesigning products so that
they they use less labor, energy and materials. Compare a stone house to
a modern efficient home: the labor, energy and material inputs per cubic
meter have been in freefall for generations.

It's not because capitalists are environmentalists, it's because they're
cheap. I love this study of Ikea catalogs that found that the SKUs that
endure become more materially efficient over time:

https://www.frbsf.org/economic-research/files/BaxterLandry.pdf

The Billy bookcase you bought this year is visually and functionally
equivalent to the ones I assembled at a bookstore in 1991, but they're
lighter (less material), pack smaller (eking out improvements in the
knapsack problem), and are composed of parts from fewer suppliers.

The same is true of cars, clothes, and other categories of goods.
Capitalism doesn't care how it reduces costs (material, energy and labor
are the major costs), and it uses a mix of benign and harmful techniques
to achieve these reductions.

All of this leads capitalism's true believers to conclude that
capitalism is compatible with planetary survival: left to its own
devices, capitalist's cheapness will reduce material and energy inputs,
and the carbon footprint of our goods will fall even as our economy grows.

One such believer is MIT Sloan's Andrew McAfee's "More From Less: The
Surprising Story of How We Learned to Prosper Using Fewer Resources—and
What Happens Next."

https://www.simonandschuster.com/books/More-from-Less/Andrew-McAfee/9781982103576

McAfee's critics say he has it wrong. As Nafeez Ahmed writes in
Motherboard, "scientific analysis by a group of systems scientists and
economists who have advised the United Nations seems to pull the rug out
from under this entire enterprise."

The critique is "Raising the bar: on the type, size and timeline of a
'successful' decoupling," published in
Environmental Politics.

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09644016.2020.1783951?journalCode=fenp20&

(Here's the Sci-Hub mirror:)

https://sci-hub.tw/downloads/2020-06-25//95/10.1080@09644016.2020.1783951.pdf

The authors say McAfee cherry-picks his stats, missing instances in
which the growth that seems to happen without increased consumption is
actually just externalizing - consuming resources somewhere else, off
the manufacturer's books (but still on Earth's ecological ledger).

They also say that McAfee fails to acknowledge that even where there's
growth without increased consumption, that there's a Red Queen's Race:
when things get cheaper (because of increased material/energy
efficiency), we buy more of it.

This is a familiar pattern: making it easier to travel increases
traffic, which erases the gains from the new travel method. Uber and
Lyft first increased mobility in cities, then they paralyzed them:

https://www.sfgate.com/technology/article/Uber-Lyft-San-Francisco-pros-cons-ride-hailing-13841277.php

It's why traffic speeds in London today are barely faster than they were
in the pre-internal combustion era.

https://www.forbes.com/2008/04/21/europe-commute-congestion-forbeslife-cx_po_0421congestion.html

The critique of "uncoupled" growth is correct, but incomplete.

It's easy to imagine a city that uses internal combustion for mass
transit but not private cars - and massively increases landspeed
relative to horses.

The barrier to such a city isn't tech or economics: it's ideology. No
one came down off a mountain with two stone tablets saying "Thou shalt
own a personal automobile." Rather, car companies  corrupted urban
planning to reduce transit and make us reliant on cars.

Likewise, it's possible to imagine an economic system in which
manufacturing relentlessly reduces material/energy inputs while banning
externalizing (cheating) and limiting new consumption.

Leigh Phillip's "Austerity Ecology & the Collapse-Porn Addicts"
describes this in detail. It's a call for a Promethean Left that demands
technology to sustain the planet while giving peasants the lives of
lords, not reducing lords to peasants.

https://boingboing.net/2016/01/12/keep-your-scythe-the-real-gre.html

If we can reform our ideology to prevent capitalism from wrecking the
planet, why stop there? Why not harness technology to give us better
allocations that enable plenty without waste?

https://locusmag.com/2017/03/cory-doctorow-the-jubilee-fill-your-boots/

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🧫 Lovely video review for Poesy the Monster Slayer

Last week, Firstsecond published "Poesy the Monster Slayer," my
first-ever picture book, illustrated by Matt Rockefeller, who managed to
evoke Universal's classic monsters without being scary!

https://pluralistic.net/2020/07/14/poesy-the-monster-slayer/#poesy

Since its publication, I've been delighted by parents and grandparents
who've sent a steady stream of photos of young readers engrossed in the
book, regaling me with tales of their littlies insisting on having the
book read again and again.

This week, the Threadily book-review vlog posted an absolutely charming
mini-review of Poesy the Monster Slayer:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_4JoUF0wMuI

The host, Kend - an "out of work queer youth services librarian" - does
a fantastic job of capturing what I was going for with the book: a
fierce hero who loves monsters and hates bedtime!

Kend stresses Matt Rockefeller's incredible gift for fierce facial
expressions, and my own not-so-secret message for parents in a
kid-friendly text.

I wrote Poesy the Monster Slayer after being inspired by Neil Gaiman's
Blueberry Girl - thinking about how the stuff I loved about parenting
and the stuff I loved about literature could come together.

https://boingboing.net/2009/04/20/gaimans-blueberry-gi.html

Kend's review makes me feel like I got it right. It made me SO happy!

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🧫 This day in history

#15yrsago Damning Sony payola memos: "I'm a whore this week"
https://somafm.com/payola/payola2.pdf

#10yrsago Podcast: Ghosts in My Head, the neuromarketing end-times
https://ia800306.us.archive.org/21/items/Cory_Doctorow_Podcast_188/Cory_Doctorow_Podcast_188_Ghosts_In_My_Head.mp3

#10yrsago EFF wins enormous victory against DRM: legal to jailbreak
iPhones, rip DVDs for mashup videos
https://www.eff.org/press/archives/2010/07/26

#1yrago Claiming your $125 from Equifax is a "moral duty"
https://slate.com/technology/2019/07/equifax-settlement-money-how-to-claim.html

#1yrago Activist blacksmith teaches gun violence survivors to melt down
guns and turn them into farm implements
https://billypenn.com/2019/07/25/using-fire-and-force-this-philly-author-turns-guns-into-garden-tools/

#1yrago Amazon struck secret deals with local cops to get them to push
surveillance-camera doorbells
https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/mb88za/amazon-requires-police-to-shill-surveillance-cameras-in-secret-agreement

#1yrago The Airbus 350 needs a hard reboot every 149 hours
https://www.theregister.com/2019/07/25/a350_power_cycle_software_bug_149_hours/

#1yrago Siemens contractor hid "logic bomb" in complicated spreadsheet,
guaranteeing future maintenance work
https://www.zdnet.com/article/siemens-contractor-pleads-guilty-to-planting-logic-bomb-in-company-spreadsheets/

#1yrago Scite: a tool to find out if a scientific paper has been
supported or contradicted since its publication https://scite.ai/

#1yrago Grifty conservative PACs raised millions pushing racist Obama
conspiracies to elderly, low-income supporters, then kept almost all of
it
https://www.propublica.org/article/conservative-majority-fund-political-fundraising-pac-kelley-rogers#164354

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🧫 Colophon

Today's top sources:

Currently writing:

* My next novel, "The Lost Cause," a post-GND novel about truth and
reconciliation. Friday's progress: 517 words (41820 total).

Currently reading: Anger Is a Gift by Mark Oshiro

Latest podcast: Full Employment:
https://craphound.com/podcast/2020/07/13/full-employment-2/
ent-2/">https://craphound.com/podcast/2020/07/13/full-employment-2/

Upcoming appearances:

* Keynote, A Midsummer Night's Con, Jul 27,
https://absoluteappsec.com/cons/midsummer-2020/

* Do Androids Dream of Electric Cars? Public Transit in the Age of
Google, Uber, and Elon Musk, Aug 4,
https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/public-transit-in-the-age-of-google-uber-and-elon-musk-tickets-114353753154

* Virtual event with Christopher Brown for his novel "Failed State," Aug
12,
https://www.bookpeople.com/event/virtual-event-christopher-brown-failed-state

Latest book:

* "Little Brother/Homeland": A reissue omnibus edition with a new
introduction by Edward Snowden:
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250774583; personalized/signed copies
here:
https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1750/July%3A__Little_Brother_%26_Homeland.html

* "Poesy the Monster Slayer" a picture book about monsters, bedtime,
gender, and kicking ass. Order here:
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781626723627. Get a personalized, signed
copy here:
https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1562/_Poesy_the_Monster_Slayer.html.

Upcoming books:

* "Attack Surface": The third Little Brother book, Oct 20, 2020.
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250757531

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That means you can use it any way you like, including commerically,
provided that you attribute it to me, Cory Doctorow, and include a link
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https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

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basis of a separate license. Please exercise caution.

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*When life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla* -Joey "Accordion Guy"
DeVilla

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