[Plura-list] Little Revolutions; Russian Cyberpunk Farm; We're already (badly) forgiving student debt

[Cory Doctorow]

Today's links

* Little Revolutions: Bethany C Morrow and Tochi Onyebuchi on the Attack
Surface Lectures.

* Russian Cyberpunk Farm: Superb comedy-dystopia in a russo-futuristic vein.

* We're already (badly) forgiving student debt: Debts that can't be paid
won't be paid.

* Facebook bullies watchdog: My Wired op-ed on the Ad Observer scandal.

* Google's monopoly rigged the ad market: Dina Srinivasan is on fire.

* This day in history: 2015, 2019

* Colophon: Recent publications, upcoming appearances, current writing
projects, current reading

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🖤 Little Revolutions

Today on the Attack Surface Lectures (a series of 8 panels exploring
themes from the third Little Brother book, hosted by Tor Books and 8
indie bookstores): Little Revolutions with Tochi Onyebuchi and Bethany C
Morrow, hosted by Skylight Books on Oct 21.

https://www.crowdcast.io/e/skylit-doctorow/register

You can watch it without tracking courtesy of the Internet Archive:

https://archive.org/details/asl-little-revolutions

Or get the audio as an MP3:

https://archive.org/download/asl-little-revolutions/Little%20Revolutions%20with%20%20Tochi%20Onyebuchi%20and%20Bethany%20C%20Morrow.mp3

Earlier instalments in the series:

I. Politics and Protest (Eva Galperin and Ron Deibert, hosted by The
Strand):

https://craphound.com/attacksurface/2020/11/16/the-attack-surface-lectures-politics-and-protest-fixed/

II. Cross-Media Sci-Fi (Amber Benson and John Rogers, hosted by the
Brookline Booksmith):

https://craphound.com/attacksurface/2020/11/17/the-attack-surface-lectures-cross-media-sci-fi/

III. Race, surveillance and tech (Meredith Whittaker and Malkia
Devich-Cyril, hosted by The Booksmith):

https://craphound.com/attacksurface/2020/11/18/the-attack-surface-lectures-intersectionality-race-surveillance-and-tech-and-its-history/

IV. Cyberpunk & Post-Cyberpunk (Christopher Brown and Bruce Sterling,
hosted by Anderson's Bookshop)

https://craphound.com/attacksurface/2020/11/19/the-attack-surface-lectures-cyberpunk-and-post-cyberpunk/

Here's a master post with all the media as it is goes live:

https://craphound.com/news/2020/11/16/attack-surface-lectures-master-post/

And you can also get this as it's posted on my podcast feed – search for
"Cory Doctorow podcast" in your podcatcher or use the RSS:

https://feeds.feedburner.com/doctorow_podcast

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🖤 Russian Cyberpunk Farm

Birchpunk's brilliant debut video is "RUSSIAN CYBERPUNK FARM // РУССКАЯ
КИБЕРДЕРЕВНЯ," a 4:30 comedo-dystopian design fiction in the form of a
recruiting ad for a futuristic Russian roboticized farm.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8HZ4DnVfWYQ

It packs about a million gags into a very short space: not just janky,
rural, Russian junkbots, but also a little robosexual romance, mutant
kombucha, aerostatic domestic disputes, and terrible civil engineering.

To say nothing of the fractal cucumber (or as a Russian friend once
called it, "Banana Siberski!"), the glitched out augmented reality, and
the black hole underneath the outhouse seat.

This is the good stuff: dark Russian humor, gritty cyberpunk sight gags,
and a themesong to die for. Is it wrong that I want to be a farmhand on
this farm?

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🖤 We're already (badly) forgiving student debt

Forgiving US student debt is a no-brainer: as a nation, America has
saddled its best-educated young people with a lifetime of debt whose
interest serves the parasitic rentier economy while suppressing their
ability to use those education to our collective benefit.

The pathetic argument that opponents have mustered is that forgiving
student debt is unfair to the people who paid off their debts through
sacrifice and hard work - in the same way that a covid treatment is
unfair to people who recovered through sheer immunoresponse.

In his analysis, "The Student Debt Crisis is a Crisis of Non-Repayment,"
Marshall Steinbaum demonstrates the hollowness of this objection. First,
he observes that we are already forgiving student debt, at unprecedented
levels, in the worst way possible.

https://phenomenalworld.org/analysis/crisis-of-non-repayment

As more and more people are unable to repay their student loans after
years - decades - of struggle and misery, lenders are erasing those
debts at levels never seen before. But the "lucky duckies" on the
receiving end of this forgiveness pay a dire price.

Student debts are effectively impossible to discharge through
bankruptcy. Congress consistently failed to fix this - whenever they've
acted, they've made it worse. If you hold someone's student debt, you
hold all the cards - you can even go after their social security.

So when you learn that a student debtor has managed to default on their
loans, what you're learning is that they have arrived at a place of such
manifest, helpless hardship that not even the student loan arm-breakers
think they can get another nickel out of them.

But that's not all: when you get your student loans forgiven, it's a
taxable benefit! So if you really, really can't pay back your loans,
your prize is getting stuck with a giant tax bill you really, really
can't pay.

In other words, America has an active, giant, terribly run, ad-hoc,
cruel student debt forgiveness program that kicks in only after you've
had your life destroyed, then punches you in the face on your way out
the door.

Steibaum uses the latest figures from the Millennial Student Debt
project to zero in on how the shadow debt-forgiveness program works, and
who is in line to win the booby prize of being so badly tormented by
debt that they qualify:

https://phenomenalworld.org/analysis/millenial-student-debt

It will not surprise you to learn that the people suffering most from
college debt are brown and Black, and that they are older than at any
time in history, because it is taking longer than ever to pay back your
student loans.

Steinbaum has an explanation for how this happened: the rise of
income-driven repayment (IDR) programs that indexed your monthly student
loan payments to your income.

These addressed student debt as a *liquidity* problem. That is, treating
recent grads as though all they needed was a little breathing room until
they got good jobs.

But those good jobs didn't appear.

Workforces (including professionals with four-year degrees) have been
increasingly squeezed by "monopsony" (like monopoly, but referring to a
lack of competition in buyers). As industries have grown consolidated,
they can rope workers into lower wages.

That means that even after a grad gets a "good industry job," their
income is so low that their IDR-based repayment  is so low that they
will *never* pay off their student debts, as interest mounts ahead of
repayment.

Student debtors aren't *illiquid*. They're *insolvent*. Their total
liabilities exceed their lifetime ability to pay. As Michael Hudson
says, "Debts that can't be paid, won't be paid."

But that's not the whole story. IDRs are also a moral hazard.

As IDRs expanded, so did tuition. Universities conned students into
taking on unsustainable debt, promising them that IDRs meant no matter
how much debt they had, their payments wouldn't gobble their whole
paycheck. It was true! Also true: they will never pay off that debt.

Student debt should be forgiven. Now. And state college tuition should
be free. The main beneficiaries of these measures would be Black and
brown people, who are also the disproportionate targets of university
predatory lending.

As Steinbaum writes, the alternative - capping loans - leads to
discrimination (excluding poor kids from top schools). The students with
best prospects will evade loan caps by taking out even higher-priced
private loans, while others will be excluded from postsecondary ed.

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🖤 Facebook bullies watchdog

Today, Wired ran my op-ed about Facebook's war on  Ad Observatory, an
NYU project that enlists users to gather the ads FB serves so
researchers and accountability journalists can measure how FB is living
up to its promises on paid disinfo.

https://www.wired.com/story/facebook-is-going-after-its-critics-in-the-name-of-privacy/

Facebook is really bad at keeping its promises. At a moment in which
paid disinformation on social media threatens the integrity of US
elections and the credibility of US democracy, FB threatened to destroy
a watchdog that documents FB's failures to live up to its promises.

FB is waging a two-front war on the scrappy academics who run this
project: first, there are the legal threats (which depend on very shaky
legal ground), and then there's a disinformation campaign that smears
these academics and their work.

Here's what that disinfo looks like: FB says that Ad Observer (the
browser plugin) threatens user privacy, and that it isn't needed because
of FB provides researchers with its own repository of ads.

Both of these are demonstrably false claims. When you scrape an ad FB
showed you and send it to Ad Observatory, you don't violate your privacy
(because you have chosen to make this disclosure), nor anyone else's
privacy.

FB claimed Ad Observer users could expose information about which of
their FB friends have seen the same ad. It would be terrible - even by
FB standards - if this was possible. It implies that when FB shows you
an ad, it also embeds info about who else has been shown that ad.

It's a mark of just how terrible FB's privacy practices are that
multiple journalists found this claim credible enough to repeat (Ad
Observer *could* get your friends "interactions" to ads, but it provably
does not).

But what about FB's claim that Ad Observatory is redundant because FB
already offers researchers access to a database of the ads running on
its service? Also demonstrably false. FB's database misses multiple
instances of paid disinformation.

How do we know that? Simply: *Ad Observer caught them*.

Get that: FB claims that it's being transparent. A watchdog proved
they're not. To fix this, FB proposes that we annihilate the watchdog.

As I wrote in Wired: "This may be par for the course with Facebook, but
it's not something we as a society can afford to tolerate any longer."

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🖤 Google's monopoly rigged the ad market

The quest to bring antitrust law to bear against tech companies is
finally paying off, but it's been a long, hard slog. At the vanguard
have been two legal scholars: Columbia law's Lina M Khan linamkhan and
Yale's Dina Srinivasan.

The first watershed moment was Khan's Jan 2017 Yale Law Review paper
"Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox," which laid the groundwork for
understanding the inadequacies of Ronald-Reagan-style antitrust for
tackling platform capitalism.

https://www.yalelawjournal.org/note/amazons-antitrust-paradox

In Sep 2018, Srinivasan went one better with her Berkeley Business Law
Review paper "The Antitrust Case Against Facebook," which made a
compelling case that even under the narrow antitrust Reagan created,
Facebook was still an illegal monopolist.

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3247362

I've just read Srinivasan's followup, a preprint of a forthcoming
Stanford Law Review paper called "Why Google Dominates Advertising
Markets."

https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3500919

It was first made available last Jun, before the DoJ announced its
antitrust case against Google, and if the DoJ didn't rely on it to frame
its case, there's a hell of a coincidence at play (even Google's
countermoves since could be ripped from its pages).

Srinivasan's paper is a very deep, technological dive into the way that
Google has structured the ad-auction market that it dominates. This
automated marketplace was based on the computerized stock exchanges that
supplanted trading floors, but its volume outstrips all of these.

And yet for all that scale, Google's marketplace has none of the
safeguards that financial markets employ to prevent the market owner
from cheating buyers and sellers.

Indeed, even when compared to other online marketplaces, Google is
especially bad, continuing practices that other serial offenders like
Amazon abandoned as too nakedly anticompetitive.

Marketplaces like the realtime ad-placement system are complex,
involving publishers, advertisers, sell-side brokers, buy-side brokers,
and the markets where they come together. Google manages to insert
itself into nearly every element of the system.

When you see an ad on a website, it is often the case that Google
brokered both the advertiser's bid and the publisher's acceptance, in a
marketplace that Google controls, and (through AMP), Google may even
host the page with the ad on it.

Srinivasan documents how Google has muscled out competing brokerages,
exchanges and hosting systems by citing benefits to internet users:
privacy measures had the (surely not incidental) side-effect of making
it impossible for rivals to target as well as Google does.

Measures aimed at improving load times (AMP again) forced publishers to
choose between giving up 50% of their ad revenue or giving up on being
visible in Google search results.

And all of this has the (again, not coincidental) side-effect of giving
Google access to proprietary business information that lets it compete
with, squeeze, and sideline publishers.

All of this points to the foolishness of "link taxes" - proposals in the
EU, Australia and Canada to make Google pay for the right to link to
news sites (and to find a way to force Google to go on linking to those
sites rather than not paying the tax).

Srinivasan makes a really compelling case that Google's multiple
conflicts-of-interest - sell-broker, buy-broker, exchange operator, host
and search tool - has shifted huge amounts of money from publishers to
the company.

But she also demonstrates that when there *is* competition (for example,
when publishers were briefly able to solicit ad bids on multiple
simultaneous exchanges), publishers can double their revenues (and
advertisers can lower their ad costs).

All this suggests that the answer to Google isn't to force it to provide
charitable payments to the press that is supposed to be reporting on it
and holding it to account - but rather to force Google to halt their
anticompetitive conduct.

If we did that, Google couldn't afford to float the news media - but
that would be because the news media had shifted a giant share of ad
revenue from Google to itself. Publishers wouldn't need Google's charity
- they'd have its revenues, instead.

Recall that the reason Google (and other tech giants) have been able to
dominate our digital world is that Reagan neutered antitrust law,
allowing companies to form brutal, all-encompassing monopolies without
fear of state action.

The DoJ's antitrust action against Google suggests that we may be able
to restore the more muscular, trustbusting version of competition law,
but Srinivasan's not waiting for that to happen.

Instead, she closes her paper by reminding us that Google's ad-market
was explicitly based on stock markets, and that these markets have a
well-developed set of regulations to prevent the self-dealing that
accounts for most of Google's profits.

While we're waiting for antitrust to reinvent itself, Srinivasan
suggests that we subject the ad market to financial laws. Doing so
wouldn't just address Google's abuses: whole swathes of our economy are
disappearing into these algorithmic marketplaces (like Ticketmaster's).

Srinivasan suggests that all of these markets should be regulated to
prevent the exchange operator from cheating the buyers and sellers.

It's a very interesting idea - and the paper is beautifully written and
argued.

I have two reservations, though:

I. The financialization of other sectors of the economy is Not Good.
Rather than reforming Ticketmaster's abusive marketplace (or Google's),
why not prohibit it? I don't want "fair" financialization, I want *no*
financialization.

II. Google's moves - third-party cookie blocking, bans on merging user
identifiers, downranking sites with lengthy "surveillance lags"
generated by complex ad bids - really *are* good for users. I'd love to
find proposals to fix this stuff *without* creating monopolies.

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🖤 This day in history

#5yrsago The secret history of the Haunted Mansion’s hall of changing
paintings
https://longforgottenhauntedmansion.blogspot.com/2015/11/the-changing-portrait-hall-that-never.html

#5yrsago England: You have four days to reply to the secret consultation
on the NHS’s future
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/nov/19/nhs-mandate-england-consulation-deadline

#5yrsago Syria secretly sentenced free software developer Bassel
Khartabil to death https://www.eff.org/offline/bassel-khartabil

#1yrago Twitter censures UK Tory Party for changing its blue-check
account name to “FactCheckUK” during the prime ministerial debates
https://www.cnn.com/2019/11/19/world/conservative-party-fact-check-twitter-intl/index.html

#1yrago DoJ to scrap the Paramount antitrust rule that prohibits movie
studios from buying or strong-arming movie theaters
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-film-antitrust/justice-department-asks-court-to-scrap-decades-old-paramount-antitrust-decrees-idUSKBN1XS2G0

#1yrago In an age of disappearing prison libraries, jail profiteers
provide “free” crapgadget tablets that charge prisoners by the minute to
read Project Gutenberg ebooks
https://appalachianprisonbookproject.org/2019/11/20/how-much-does-it-cost-to-read-a-free-book-on-a-free-tablet/

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🖤 Colophon

Today's top sources: Matt Stoller
(https://twitter.com/matthewstoller/media), Brian Milnes, Naked
Capitalism (https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/).

Currently writing: My next novel, "The Lost Cause," a post-GND novel
about truth and reconciliation. Yesterday's progress: 554 words (86321
total).

Currently reading: The Ministry for the Future, Kim Stanley Robinson

Latest podcast: Someone Comes to Town, Someone Leaves Town (part 23)
https://craphound.com/podcast/2020/11/16/someone-comes-to-town-someone-leaves-town-part-23/

Upcoming appearances:

* Keynote, Cybersummit 2020, Nov 26 https://www.cybera.ca/cyber-summit-2020/

* Keynote, Cologne Futures, Nov 27 http://medienpolitik.eu/

* Beaverbrook Lecture: How to Destroy Surveillance Capitalism, Nov 30,
https://www.mcgill.ca/maxbellschool/channels/event/2020-beaverbrook-annual-lecture-part-ii-cory-doctorow-325538

* Teach-In Against Surveillance, Dec 1,
https://www.eventbrite.ca/e/teach-in-against-surveillance-tickets-128926228821

* Keynote, NISO Plus, Feb 22-25,
https://niso.plus/cory-doctorow-to-keynote-at-niso-plus-2021/

Recent appearances:

* Talkingheadz Podcast:
https://talkingpointz.com/talkingheadz-with-cory-doctorow/

* Can Web 3 Help Democracy?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1Oq15ZbHlmM

* Fully Charged: The future of energy over the next 300 years
https://fullycharged.show/podcasts/podcast-84-the-future-of-energy-over-the-next-300-years-cory-doctorow/

Latest book:

* "Attack Surface": The third Little Brother novel, a standalone
technothriller for adults. The *Washington Post* called it "a political
cyberthriller, vigorous, bold and savvy about the limits of revolution
and resistance." Order signed, personalized copies from Dark Delicacies
* "How to Destroy Surveillance Capitalism": an anti-monopoly pamphlet
analyzing the true harms of surveillance capitalism and proposing a
solution.
https://onezero.medium.com/how-to-destroy-surveillance-capitalism-8135e6744d59

* "Little Brother/Homeland": A reissue omnibus edition with a new
introduction by Edward Snowden:
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250774583; personalized/signed copies
here:
https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1750/July%3A__Little_Brother_%26_Homeland.html

* "Poesy the Monster Slayer" a picture book about monsters, bedtime,
gender, and kicking ass. Order here:
https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781626723627. Get a personalized, signed
copy here:
https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1562/_Poesy_the_Monster_Slayer.html.

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When life gives you SARS, you make sarsaparilla -Joey "Accordion Guy"
DeVilla

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