[Plura-list] One weird trick to make monopolies self-destruct

[Cory Doctorow]

Read today's issue online at: https://pluralistic.net/2022/12/08/one-last-job/

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My publisher Tor Books and Goodreads are having a drawing for a giveaway of advance hardcopies of my next novel, "Red Team Blues," a Silicon Valley forensic accounting thriller about a cryptocurrency heist. If you're in the US or Canada, enter here to win a copy:

https://www.goodreads.com/giveaway/show/353941-red-team-blues

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Today's links

* One weird trick to make monopolies self-destruct: Remember when corporate raiders broke companies up?

* Hey look at this: Delights to delectate.

* This day in history: 2002, 2007, 2012, 2021

* Colophon: Recent publications, upcoming/recent appearances, current writing projects, current reading

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⛹🏻‍♂️ One weird trick to make monopolies self-destruct

Kim Stanley Robinson's 2020 novel *Ministry For the Future* was a groundbreaking work: it's the tale of a detailed, plausible transition from a world on a collision course with civilization-ending climate catastrophe to one where the challenge is met, with humanity collectively deciding to save itself:

https://pluralistic.net/2020/12/03/ministry-for-the-future/#ksr

Robinson's book is important: it not only disproves the (variously attributed) capitalist realism aphorism that "it is easier to imagine the end of the world than it is to imagine the end of capitalism" - it also imagines the means by which that ending was brought about.

It's a tale of what I've called "The Swerve": the day we stop listening to the first class passengers at the front of the bus that's barreling towards a cliff, rush the driver and *yank* the wheel before we go over the edge:

https://locusmag.com/2022/07/cory-doctorow-the-swerve/

Since the book's publication, it has been the subject of intense foment, such as the *excellent* Crooked Timber seminar on the book's strengths, flaws, and future:

https://pluralistic.net/2021/05/12/seminar-for-the-future/#imaginations

The latest project inspired by the book comes from NESTA and *The Prospect*: Minister For the Future is a series of policy proposals to someone holding that office, as proposed in Robinson's novel, for dealing with inequality, food, demographics, networks, mental health, automation, pandemics, health, and other subjects:

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/specialreports/minister-for-the-future

I also contributed a piece: "Enticing monopolies to unwind themselves," which addresses the existential risk of monopolies: when monopolies reign, it is all but impossible to make good policy, because the monopolists can outbid all comers and turn every truth-seeking exercise into an auction that they win:

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/enticing-monopolies-to-unwind-themselves

That is, after all, the story of the climate emergency itself: a handful of giant firms colluding to distort science, delay action - and risk billions of lives to make trillions of dollars. Monopolies create superdense concentrations of power that, like a black hole, warp the normal rules:

https://pluralistic.net/2022/12/05/eldritch-physics/#wouldnt-start-from-here

The best time to tackle monopolies would have been 40 years ago, when all over the world, regulators stopped enforcing anti-monopoly law. The second best time is now. Lucky for us, antitrust regulators have the bit between their teeth and have vowed to halt the march towards market concentration, blocking mergers rather than waving them through:

https://pluralistic.net/2021/08/13/post-bork-era/#manne-down

They've also promised to take on existing monopolies, unwinding the predatory acquisitions and anti-competitive mergers that produced so much concentration in so many industries, which now rule over their regulators, hurting us in a million ways with utter impunity:

https://www.openmarketsinstitute.org/learn/monopoly-by-the-numbers

But while breaking up monopolies is important work, it's also *slow* work. It took 69 years to break up AT&T!

https://doctorow.medium.com/podcasting-jam-to-day-c451dd289f2

Blocking future monopolies without ending existing ones is a huge risk. Any monopoly in an industrial supply chain can destroy the smaller firms it buys from and sells to. Think of how Big Pharma's mergers let it gouge hospitals on drug prices, leading to regional hospital monopolies that had the bargaining power to push back. But then those hospitals turned around and started screwing insurers, who *also* formed regional monopolies in order to defend themselves from price-gouging.

In the end, monopoly leads to monopoly, with workers and consumers at either end of the supply chain, unorganized and vulnerable, which is why health workers make less money under worse conditions and patients spend more money for worse care. It's not enough to prevent future monopolies - we also have to break up the ones that are all around us.

How can we make that happen without waiting 69 years while the monopolists use their vast cash reserves and influence to delay the reckoning? That's where my proposal comes in.

https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/enticing-monopolies-to-unwind-themselves

I am old enough to remember when corporate raiders took over companies in order to break them up and sell them for parts, rather than merging them into monopolies. Rapacious, remorseless finance assholes once stalked the corporate world, shattering firms with impunity.

What if we brought those monsters out of retirement for one more job?

My proposal is simple: a two-year capital gains tax holiday on profits from unwinding any 21st century merger involving a firm with more than £10b in market cap: "Watch them do in months what decades of courtroom grinding couldn’t hope to accomplish."

This is a very *Ministry For the Future* kind of idea - one of the novel's subplots involves bribing oil companies to leave oil in the ground by buying up all their stranded assets, and swallowing the galling proposition of giving still more money to the people who wrecked the planet.

I'm ambivalent about my proposal for the same reason I was ambivalent about Robsinson's stranded-assets thought-experiment. But the last time I talked with Robinson, he shrugged and said, "We'll just take it all back with a wealth tax."

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dfgfh3SYu8Y

The whole "Minister" package is a fascinating one, and there is something extremely refreshing about imagining a post-Swerve future, where high officials are bent on actually addressing our most urgent problems, backed by an unstoppable political will.


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⛹🏻‍♂️ Hey look at this

* Ellen Harding Baker's “Solar System” Quilt (1876–ca. 1883) https://publicdomainreview.org/collection/solar-system-quilt

* We Must Fight for a Better America. We Have No Choice https://newrepublic.com/article/168881/must-fight-better-america-no-choice

* A year of new avenues https://www.robinsloan.com/lab/new-avenues/ (h/t David Johnson)

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⛹🏻‍♂️ This day in history

#20yrsago Email that won’t travel more than 500 miles https://www.copytechnet.com/forums/archive/index.php/t-34269.html

#20yrsago Tied to a tree for failing to pay utility bills in Azerbaijan https://www.rferl.org/a/1079243.html

#10yrsago Pret fires longstanding employee who attempted to unionise, asked for the London Living Wage for all employees https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CR7vRzPq3aU

#10yrsago Sony ceases production on cassette player/recorders https://web.archive.org/web/20121209030400/http://en.akihabaranews.com/121398/dap-pmp/sony-to-discontinue-the-production-early-2013-of-cassette-player-recorder

#5yrsago Square dancing was a racist hoax funded by Henry Ford to get white people to stop dancing to black music https://twitter.com/RobynElyse/status/938916412248199168

#5yrsago Ajit Pai says an informed public (not Net Neutrality) will discipline ISPs (BTW, he’s also killing the rules forcing ISPs to inform the public) https://arstechnica.com/tech-policy/2017/12/how-the-net-neutrality-repeal-helps-isps-keep-their-hidden-fees-hidden/

#5yrsago Here are some of the lavish, lobbyist-funded parties that Congress and the Trump administration will attend this month https://theintercept.com/2017/12/08/congress-lobbyist-holiday-parties/

#5yrsago Share of national wealth held by America’s 1% hits 50-year high https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2017/12/06/the-richest-1-percent-now-owns-more-of-the-countrys-wealth-than-at-any-time-in-the-past-50-years/

#5yrsago Bosses seed Silicon Valley Christmas parties with models who impersonate fellow employees, after briefing them with back-stories https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-12-07/silicon-valley-is-sneaking-models-into-this-year-s-holiday-parties

#5yrsago Congressman Trent Franks [R-AZ] resigns amidst accusations that he pressured his female staff to bear his children as surrogate mothers https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2017/12/arizona-congressman-resigns-forwait-what-was-that-again.html

#1yrago How elite hobbies let billionaires pay no tax https://pluralistic.net/2021/12/08/required-ish-reading/#hobby-lobby-ists

#1yrago Broken Promises: The Writers Guild of America West makes the case for media un-consolidation https://pluralistic.net/2021/12/08/required-ish-reading/#media-consolidation

#1yrago All the books I reviewed in 2021 https://pluralistic.net/2021/12/08/required-ish-reading/#bibliography

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⛹🏻‍♂️ Colophon

Currently writing:

* The Bezzle, a Martin Hench noir thriller novel about the prison-tech industry. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, WAITING FOR EDITORIAL REVIEW

* Picks and Shovels, a Martin Hench noir thriller about the heroic era of the PC. (92849 words total) - ON PAUSE

* A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING

* The Bezzle, a Martin Hench noir thriller novel about the prison-tech industry. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, WAITING FOR EDITORIAL REVIEW

* The Internet Con: How to Seize the Means of Computation, a nonfiction book about interoperability for Verso. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, WAITING FOR EDITORIAL REVIEW

* Vigilant, Little Brother short story about remote invigilation. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, WAITING FOR EXPERT REVIEW

* Moral Hazard, a short story for MIT Tech Review's 12 Tomorrows. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, ACCEPTED FOR PUBLICATION

* Spill, a Little Brother short story about pipeline protests. FINAL DRAFT COMPLETE

* A post-GND utopian novel, "The Lost Cause."  FINISHED

* A cyberpunk noir thriller novel, "Red Team Blues."  FINISHED

Currently reading: Analogia by George Dyson.

Latest podcast: Sound Money https://craphound.com/news/2022/09/11/sound-money/

Upcoming appearances:

* Library Learning Experience/American Library Association (New Orleans), Jan 27-30
https://www.2023.alaliblearnx.org/cory-doctorow

* Chokepoint Capitalism: Can It Be Defeated? (UCL Faculty of Laws), Feb 1
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/laws/events/2023/feb/online-chokepoint-capitalism-can-it-be-defeated

* Australian Digital Alliance Copyright Forum (Canberra), Feb 17
https://digital.org.au/2022/11/08/doctorow-giblin-first-speaker-announcement-ada-forum-2023/

* Antitrust, Regulation and the Political Economy (Brussels), Mar 2
https://www.brusselsconference.com/registration

Recent appearances:

* Plurality and democracy with Audrey Tang (Liberté! Talks)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dDGGfNZsRa8&t=1s

* Anti-interoperability, vendor lock-in, and high switching costs (Clearer Thinking)
https://clearerthinkingpodcast.com/episode/135

* Bubble Trouble (Part 1)
https://www.bubbletroublepodcast.com/chokepoint-capitalism-with-cory-doctorow-part-one/

Latest books:

* "Chokepoint Capitalism: How to Beat Big Tech, Tame Big Content, and Get Artists Paid, with Rebecca Giblin", on how to unrig the markets for creative labor, Beacon Press/Scribe 2022 https://chokepointcapitalism.com

* "Attack Surface": The third Little Brother novel, a standalone technothriller for adults. The *Washington Post* called it "a political cyberthriller, vigorous, bold and savvy about the limits of revolution and resistance." Order signed, personalized copies from Dark Delicacies https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1840/Available_Now%3A_Attack_Surface.html

* "How to Destroy Surveillance Capitalism": an anti-monopoly pamphlet analyzing the true harms of surveillance capitalism and proposing a solution. https://onezero.medium.com/how-to-destroy-surveillance-capitalism-8135e6744d59 (print edition: https://bookshop.org/books/how-to-destroy-surveillance-capitalism/9781736205907) (signed copies: https://www.darkdel.com/store/p2024/Available_Now%3A__How_to_Destroy_Surveillance_Capitalism.html)

* "Little Brother/Homeland": A reissue omnibus edition with a new introduction by Edward Snowden: https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781250774583; personalized/signed copies here: https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1750/July%3A__Little_Brother_%26_Homeland.html

* "Poesy the Monster Slayer" a picture book about monsters, bedtime, gender, and kicking ass. Order here: https://us.macmillan.com/books/9781626723627. Get a personalized, signed copy here: https://www.darkdel.com/store/p2682/Corey_Doctorow%3A_Poesy_the_Monster_Slayer_HB.html#/.

Upcoming books:

* Red Team Blues: "A grabby, compulsive thriller that will leave you knowing more about how the world works than you did before." Tor Books, April 2023

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