[Plura-list] Mass tech worker layoffs and the soft landing

[Cory Doctorow]

Read today's issue online at: https://pluralistic.net/2023/03/21/tech-workers/

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Tomorrow (Mar 22), I'm doing a remote talk for the Institute for the Future's "Changing the Register" series:

https://iftf.zoom.us/webinar/register/5916783211142/WN_0YsPkGH8Tk6RZ9eec_VVpg

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Today's links

* Mass tech worker layoffs and the soft landing: Finally, the non-tech sector can hire technical workers.

* Hey look at this: Delights to delectate.

* This day in history: 2003, 2013, 2018, 2022

* Colophon: Recent publications, upcoming/recent appearances, current writing projects, current reading

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🛀🏿 Mass tech worker layoffs and the soft landing

As tech giants reach terminal enshittification, hollowed out to the point where they are barely able to keep their end-users or business customers locked in, the capital classes are ready for the final rug-pull, where all the value is transfered from people who make things for a living to people who own things for a living.

"Activist investors" have triggered massive waves of tech layoffs, firing so many tech workers so quickly that it's hard to even come up with an accurate count. The total is somewhere around *280,000* workers:

https://layoffs.fyi/

These layoffs have nothing to do with "trimming the fat" or correcting the hiring excesses of the lockdown. They're a project to transfer value from workers, customers and users to shareholders. Google's layoff of 12,000 workers followed fast on the heels of gargantuan stock buyback where the company pissed away enough money to pay those 12,000 salaries...for *the next 27 years*.

The equation is simple: the more companies invest in maintenance, research, development, moderation, anti-fraud, customer service and all the other essential functions of the business, the less money there is to remit to people who do nothing and own everything.

The tech sector has grown and grown since the first days of the PC - which were also the first days of neoliberalism (literally: the Apple ][+ went on sale the same year Ronald Reagan hit the campaign trail). But despite a long-run tight labor market for tech workers, there have been two other periods of mass layoffs - the 2001 dotcom collapse and the Great Financia lCrisis of 2008.

Both of those were mass extinction events for startups and the workers who depended on them. The mass dislocations of those times were traumatic, and each one had its own aftermath. The dotcom collapse freed up tons of workers, servers, offices and furniture, and a massive surge in useful, user-centric technologies. The Great Financial Crisis created the gig economy and a series of exploitative, scammy "bro" startups, from cryptocurrency grifts to services like Airbnb, bent on converting the world's housing stock into unlicensed hotel rooms filled with hidden cameras.

Likewise, the post-lockdown layoffs have their own character: as Eira May writes on StackOverflow, many in the vast cohort of laid-off tech workers is finding it relatively easy to find new tech jobs, outside of the tech sector:

https://stackoverflow.blog/2023/03/19/whats-different-about-these-layoffs/

May cites a Ziprecruiter analysis that claims that 80% of laid-off tech workers found tech jobs within 3 months, and that there are 375,000 open tech roles in American firms today (and that figure is growing):

https://www.ziprecruiter.com/blog/laid-off-tech-workers/

There are plenty of tech jobs - just not in tech companies. They're in "energy and climate technology, healthcare, retail, finance, agriculture, and more" - firms with intensely technical needs and no technical staff. Historically, many of these firms would have outsourced their technological back-ends to the Big Tech firms that just destroyed so many jobs to further enrich the richest people on Earth. Now, those companies are hiring ex-Big Tech employees to run their own services.

The Big Tech firms are locked in a race to see who can eat their seed corn the fastest. Spreading tech expertise out of the tech firms is a good thing, on balance. Big Tech's vast profits come from smaller businesses in the real economy who couldn't outbid the tech giants for tech talent - until now.

These mass layoff speak volumes about the ethos of Silicon Valley. The same investors who rent their garments demanding a bailout for Silicon Valley Bank to "help the everyday workers" are also the loudest voices for mass layoffs and transfers to shareholders. The self-styled "angel investor" who spent the weekend of SVB's collapse all-caps tweeting dire warnings about the impact on "the middle class" and "Main Street" also gleefully DM'ed Elon Musk in the runup to his takeover of Twitter:

> Day zero

> Sharpen your blades boys 🔪

> 2 day a week Office requirement = 20% voluntary departures.

https://newsletter.mollywhite.net/p/the-venture-capitalists-dilemma

For many technologists, the allure of digital tools is the possibility of emancipation, a world where we can collaborate to make things without bosses or masters. But for the bosses and masters, automation's allure is the possibility of getting rid of workers, shattering their power, and replacing them with meeker, cheaper, more easily replaced labor.

That means that workers who go from tech firms to firms in the real economy might be getting lucky - escaping the grasp of bosses who dream of a world where technology lets them pit workers against each other in a race to the bottom on wages, benefits and working conditions, to employers who are glad to have them as partners in their drive to escape Big Tech's grasp.

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🛀🏿 Hey look at this

* The venture capitalist's dilemma https://newsletter.mollywhite.net/p/the-venture-capitalists-dilemma

* The Incredible Tantrum Venture Capitalists Threw Over Silicon Valley Bank https://slate.com/technology/2023/03/silicon-valley-bank-rescue-venture-capital-calacanis-sacks-ackman-tantrum.html

* The hierarchy of excuses https://crookedtimber.org/2023/03/20/the-hierarchy-of-excuses/

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🛀🏿 This day in history

#20yrsago Talk radio is the province of lying demagogues, bigots and fools https://web.archive.org/web/20030402131244/http://www.boston.com/dailyglobe2/079/oped/Outrageous_times_for_talk_radio+.shtml

#10yrsago Bruce Sterling’s closing SXSW keynote: disruption and destruction https://soundcloud.com/officialsxsw/bruce-sterling-closing-remarks

#10yrsago How the Digital Millennium Copyright Act punishes people with disabilities https://slate.com/technology/2013/03/dmca-copyright-reform-u-s-law-makes-digital-media-inaccessible.html

#10yrsago Supercut of all the alternate endings to the Animaniacs theme https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HCM0jBrEfPw

#10yrsago EFF blasts plans to build DRM into HTML5 https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2013/03/defend-open-web-keep-drm-out-w3c-standards

#10yrsago You know who does creepier stuff with your data than Cambridge Analytica? Your ISP https://www.techdirt.com/2018/03/21/if-youre-pissed-about-facebooks-privacy-abuses-you-should-be-four-times-as-angry-broadband-industry/

#5yrsago Police say the Austin bomber killed himself as they closed in on him https://web.archive.org/web/20180321085839/https://www.statesman.com/news/breaking-austin-bombing-suspect-dies-police-close-official-says/KZmUAGvKlNazDr31EzeUzI/

#5yrsago To save the Earth, stack humans in green cities and leave the wilderness for other animals https://www.theguardian.com/cities/2018/mar/20/save-the-planet-half-earth-kim-stanley-robinson

#5yrsago Teen’s devastating bug-report on a “tamper-proof” cryptocurrency wallet shows why companies can’t be left in charge of bad news about their products https://saleemrashid.com/2018/03/20/breaking-ledger-security-model/

#5yrsago In Chicago primaries, a string of defeats for the Democratic establishment at the hands of progressive Democrats https://theintercept.com/2018/03/20/fritz-kaegi-chicago-the-democratic-machine-is-defeated-by-an-insurgent-candidate-battling-municipal-inequality/

#1yrago Brazil's "Remuneration Right" will strengthen Big Tech and Big Media https://pluralistic.net/2022/03/21/jeffersonian-v-hamiltonian/#dinheiro-fala

#1yrago To make Big Tech better, make it smaller https://pluralistic.net/2022/03/21/jeffersonian-v-hamiltonian/#fits-in-a-bathtub

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🛀🏿 Colophon

Today's top sources: Slashdot (https://slashdot.org/).

Currently writing:

* Picks and Shovels, a Martin Hench noir thriller about the heroic era of the PC. Yesterday's progress: 776 words (118237 words total). FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE

* The Bezzle, a Martin Hench noir thriller novel about the prison-tech industry. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, WAITING FOR EDITORIAL REVIEW

* A Little Brother short story about DIY insulin PLANNING

* Vigilant, Little Brother short story about remote invigilation. ON SUBMISSION

* Moral Hazard, a short story for MIT Tech Review's 12 Tomorrows. FIRST DRAFT COMPLETE, ACCEPTED FOR PUBLICATION

* Spill, a Little Brother short story about pipeline protests. ON SUBMISSION

Latest podcast: Gig Work is the Opposite of Steampunk https://craphound.com/news/2023/03/19/gig-work-is-the-opposite-of-steampunk/

Upcoming appearances:

*  IFTF Changing the Register, Mar 22
https://iftf.zoom.us/webinar/register/5916783211142/WN_0YsPkGH8Tk6RZ9eec_VVpg

* Antitrust and Competition Conference - Beyond the Consumer Welfare Standard (Chicago), Apr 20-21
https://www.chicagobooth.edu/research/stigler/events/2023-antitrust

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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IjE-RpOR5FU&t=2744s

Latest books:

* "Chokepoint Capitalism: How to Beat Big Tech, Tame Big Content, and Get Artists Paid, with Rebecca Giblin", on how to unrig the markets for creative labor, Beacon Press/Scribe 2022 https://chokepointcapitalism.com

* "Attack Surface": The third Little Brother novel, a standalone technothriller for adults. The *Washington Post* called it "a political cyberthriller, vigorous, bold and savvy about the limits of revolution and resistance." Order signed, personalized copies from Dark Delicacies https://www.darkdel.com/store/p1840/Available_Now%3A_Attack_Surface.html

* "How to Destroy Surveillance Capitalism": an anti-monopoly pamphlet analyzing the true harms of surveillance capitalism and proposing a solution. https://onezero.medium.com/how-to-destroy-surveillance-capitalism-8135e6744d59 (print edition: https://bookshop.org/books/how-to-destroy-surveillance-capitalism/9781736205907) (signed copies: https://www.darkdel.com/store/p2024/Available_Now%3A__How_to_Destroy_Surveillance_Capitalism.html)

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Upcoming books:

* Red Team Blues: "A grabby, compulsive thriller that will leave you knowing more about how the world works than you did before." Tor Books, April 2023

* The Internet Con: A nonfiction book about interoperability and Big Tech, Verso, September 2023

* The Lost Cause: a post-Green New Deal eco-topian novel about truth and reconciliation with white nationalist militias, Tor Books, November 2023

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